Tropical Storm LARRY Advisory Sat Sep 11

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE LARRY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122021
0900 UTC FRI SEP 10 2021

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
37.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X  46(46)   4(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X  98(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X  87(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X  33(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X  97(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X  71(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X  23(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X  48(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PTX BASQUES    34  X  13(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

EDDY POINT NS  34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SYDNEY NS      34  4  11(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

SABLE ISLAND   34 67  12(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
SABLE ISLAND   50  4   8(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

HALIFAX NS     34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

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